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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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dick morris said there's more to the polls than meet the eyes. dick morris is here dick. also former secretary of state henry kissinger, does he think the u.s. should draw a red line to stop the nuclear build-up? you'll hear coming up. plus, sparks fly as ann coulter took on the ladies of "the view." whoopi wasn't taking it. do not move. "on the record" back in 60 seconds. >> greta: there's no doubt about it, the presidential race it tight, but the sizzling question who hats edge. polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's going on now is these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino and young people v
dick morris said there's more to the polls than meet the eyes. dick morris is here dick. also former secretary of state henry kissinger, does he think the u.s. should draw a red line to stop the nuclear build-up? you'll hear coming up. plus, sparks fly as ann coulter took on the ladies of "the view." whoopi wasn't taking it. do not move. "on the record" back in 60 seconds. >> greta: there's no doubt about it, the presidential race it tight, but the sizzling question...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll?
megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in m
dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened...
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Sep 20, 2012
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. >> dick morris is also talking this morning he's responding to the criticism that mitt romney is facing this week with the 40 percent of americans likely to vote for him. despite what some are saying he is saying it could work as a positive for the presidential hopeful. >> it is not a rough week for romney. the media loves to paint something do it out of proportion and then yell gaff, gaff, gaff and try to make a story that romney is screwing up. the fact of the matter is at the beginning of the week he was still suffering from the democratic bounce. by the middle of this week monday and tuesday he had caught off the bounce is over. now he told the truth about the 47 percent first one with the guts to say it and the media is assuming that's going to be a big negative. i think it may be a positive and inject welfare into entitlements. the crisis abroad is going to sap obama's credibility on what had been his strength. >>> more on that through the show this morning. look at the map right there? >> ladies, this is the last official week of summer. the warmest temperatures still summertime
. >> dick morris is also talking this morning he's responding to the criticism that mitt romney is facing this week with the 40 percent of americans likely to vote for him. despite what some are saying he is saying it could work as a positive for the presidential hopeful. >> it is not a rough week for romney. the media loves to paint something do it out of proportion and then yell gaff, gaff, gaff and try to make a story that romney is screwing up. the fact of the matter is at the...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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so is dick morris right, will? >> dick morris has a point. first of all, i hate talking about polls and i know roland does as well, because a, i hate the idea that politicians are constantly checking polls and adjusting their message. b, i hate trying to interpret these things as though i have a crystal ball. i know this, carl, a lot of the polls coming out, heard the topic du jour this week, some think the main street polls are skewed because what they're showing is a larger democratic turnout than the historic democratic turnout in 2008. in 2008, on the cusp of an historic election, first black president to, you know, about to be elected, you had an amazing turnout among minorities and youth vote. what the polls today are showing, projecting a larger turnout than that, a little bit of a stretch, a little harder to stomach in a downed economy, so i'm very skeptical you will see that turnout again. >> there is one thing i do in this world, carol, i never, ever listen to anything dick morris has to say. do you know how wrong he has been? serio
so is dick morris right, will? >> dick morris has a point. first of all, i hate talking about polls and i know roland does as well, because a, i hate the idea that politicians are constantly checking polls and adjusting their message. b, i hate trying to interpret these things as though i have a crystal ball. i know this, carl, a lot of the polls coming out, heard the topic du jour this week, some think the main street polls are skewed because what they're showing is a larger democratic...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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dick morris is a former adviser to president clinton. good evening, dick. >> hi. well, i think that eye think absolutely, this is what happens when you have a weak presidency. maybe bush was too strong and the casualty there is that people start turning against the war. but obama is way too weak. and like with jimmy carter when the american president is weak, our enemies are going to take advantage of him. >> greta: how do we separate out that -- th crisis right now, we are looking at the beginnings of, we are looking at a from -- at a protest. how do we separate out the real crisis that the nation is facing tonight there and the political impact because this does have a political impact back home. it is used as a weapon, back and forth. >> i think that the administration has some explaining to do. there is a newspaper in britain, a credible source, the independent, which says that senior diplomatic officials in the united states report that we had 48 hours of warning of the libyan attack. and in any case, it doesn't take a genius to know that it is going to be se
dick morris is a former adviser to president clinton. good evening, dick. >> hi. well, i think that eye think absolutely, this is what happens when you have a weak presidency. maybe bush was too strong and the casualty there is that people start turning against the war. but obama is way too weak. and like with jimmy carter when the american president is weak, our enemies are going to take advantage of him. >> greta: how do we separate out that -- th crisis right now, we are looking...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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he started a hashtag called dick morris predictions. no one will even notice that the nfl is even using replacement reps. he is already catching on fire. i love it. another way that they go here with the counterattacks is mitt romney doing an on-air ad. when you see the actual candidate in the ad, you know he is in a little bit of trouble. why? because they don't normally go in that direction. he is trying to do a personal appeal. here is mitt romney trying. >> romney: president obama and i both care about poor and middle class families, the difference is my policies will make things better for them. we shouldn't measure compassion by how many people are on welfare. we should measure compassion by how many people are able to get off of welfare and get a better job. >> cenk: problem number 2 if you have to start your ad by talking about how great your opponent is, you are in trouble. >> i'm not a witch. i'm nothing you have heard. i'm you. i'll go to washington, and do what you would do. i'm christine o'donnell, and i approve this messag
he started a hashtag called dick morris predictions. no one will even notice that the nfl is even using replacement reps. he is already catching on fire. i love it. another way that they go here with the counterattacks is mitt romney doing an on-air ad. when you see the actual candidate in the ad, you know he is in a little bit of trouble. why? because they don't normally go in that direction. he is trying to do a personal appeal. here is mitt romney trying. >> romney: president obama and...
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Sep 26, 2012
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dick morris in a matter of minutes and we are going from here to ed gillespie running things for the mitt romney camp. should they be concerned about the battle ground states. all coming up on "fox & friends". don't go anywhere, but please get dressed. >> it is 51 after the top of the hour. quick headlines for you. low cost carrier air asia will soon be offering baby free quiet zones. the airline will only allow people 12 and over in that section of the plane. >>> while tensions rise in the patient's rest debacle some are somethi having fun at the nfl's expense. ♪ >> i like it the video has more than 78,000 views. patti ann? >> more on that controversial call heather during the packer's seahawks game up in arms over the nfl's use of refs. now they are worried over the player's safety and whether teams are getting burned in their chance to make it to the super bowl. can the nfl be legally held responsible by any of these groups let's ask criminal defense attorney and fox news contributor arthur adidala. let's look at towns who prophet. the mayor of green bay called an official compl
dick morris in a matter of minutes and we are going from here to ed gillespie running things for the mitt romney camp. should they be concerned about the battle ground states. all coming up on "fox & friends". don't go anywhere, but please get dressed. >> it is 51 after the top of the hour. quick headlines for you. low cost carrier air asia will soon be offering baby free quiet zones. the airline will only allow people 12 and over in that section of the plane. >>>...
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Sep 8, 2012
09/12
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. >> sean: joining us now, former clinton adviser, author of the book "screwed," dick morris is back. what happened to the party of the people, dick? >> there was no question he didn't have a two-thirds majority. probably didn't have a simple majority. that shows how deeply, deeply against our traditional values as a country and our support of israel the core of the democratic party is. here, the president was trying to re-insert jerusalem and god and his own delegates didn't want to let him do it. >> sean: yeah. you know one thing, the l.a. mayor who was obviously trying to get the crowd again and again to go his way, it was actually written in the prompter. we got a shot of this, where it said in the opinion of the chair two,-thirds having voted in the affirmative, it was already written in as a preordained issue. let's go to the speech of the president. your general thoughts? >> i'm sorry. before we leave that, i want to point out that there were three things that were deleted from the israel plank. jerusalem, which they put back in. a provision that said we should isolate hamas, a
. >> sean: joining us now, former clinton adviser, author of the book "screwed," dick morris is back. what happened to the party of the people, dick? >> there was no question he didn't have a two-thirds majority. probably didn't have a simple majority. that shows how deeply, deeply against our traditional values as a country and our support of israel the core of the democratic party is. here, the president was trying to re-insert jerusalem and god and his own delegates...
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Sep 27, 2012
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we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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dick morris joins us. dick who did the better job? >> do i get to see either? there is clinton's speech like a really good lawyer defending a guilty client. you could look at moves and celebrate them. and at the same time, not be convinced. and that is a phrase of his are we better off is going to haunt the democrats because by 2-1, people believe we're not. anyone thinks we are is nuts. and in the opinion of most americans. and that is i think going to hurt badly. i think for obama's speech is that he's used to giving good speeches. i thought 10 minutes were uplifting and very good. the core was making clearer than he's made before, that he's a liberal and a big government, big spending liberal. and this country isn't liberal. two things with not done. they did not destroy mitt romney. it was very little time spent in prime time on attacking romney. there was a bane capitol story buzz those weren't in prime time and from 20 years ago. and there are attacks on republican party. and not on mitt romney. secondly there is no real portrayal of the substantive recor
dick morris joins us. dick who did the better job? >> do i get to see either? there is clinton's speech like a really good lawyer defending a guilty client. you could look at moves and celebrate them. and at the same time, not be convinced. and that is a phrase of his are we better off is going to haunt the democrats because by 2-1, people believe we're not. anyone thinks we are is nuts. and in the opinion of most americans. and that is i think going to hurt badly. i think for obama's...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
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Sep 8, 2012
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>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there. >> alisyn: there's a political lesson there. seriously, weeks beforehand, how much time are they dedicated to preparing and what are they doing? >> i don't think they're rehearsing yet. they will. you think the conventions themselves as the preparation for the debate. because both parties were getting their message down. and the democratic message is that the republican party is telling you, you're on your own. and the republican message is to say that we need government to let us alone so that we can grow. and i want to tell you all a cute story. and once bill clinton came in to me
>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there....
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Sep 12, 2012
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let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the whole development of the last 24 hours are really calling into question obama's foreign policy credentials and his supposed advantage in that field. don't forget that this libya attack comes at a country with the united states basically underwrote their whole revolution, put our own people at risk, flying strikes in the no-fly zone. this is a uprising the u.s. backed and supported. this is a tremendous, tremendous reversal and a black eye for obama and his foreign policy. on the netanyahu front, it was incredible that hillary clinton said yesterday, there are no bright lines, whic
let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the...
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Sep 25, 2012
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dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured out in the latest poll. 30.67 percent of the country considers them republican.
dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the...
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Sep 23, 2012
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. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabba
. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >> tim burke, let me ask you about the economics of hamilton county. how was it doing? what is the unemployment rate, and what impact will that have on overall results in november? >> let me speak to ohio in general, as alex just did. i think the reason president obama is doing so well -- the biggest one may be the of the rescue. 750,000 jobs in ohio -- many right here in southwest ohio -- depend on the auto industry. the fact that has come back as strongly as it has has ohio doing better than the national economy is doing. just yesterday we had president obama here. the individual w
we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >>...